On Now
Coming Up
  • Sun., Aug. 30, 2015 1:00 PM - 4:00 PM CDT Houston Texans Stampede Tour pres. by Academy Sports + Outdoors

    Stop by Academy Sports + Outdoors (2351 Earl Rudder Fwy, College Station, TX 77845) from 1-2 PM and Wings 'N More (1511 University Dr. E., College Station, TX  77840) from 3-4 PM on Sunday, August 30, 2015 to meet the Houston Texans!

    Stop by for autographs with:

    FORMER SAFETY, #38 DANIEAL MANNING
    FORMER GUARD, #74 WADE SMITH

    HOUSTON TEXANS CHEERLEADERS AND TORO!


    Houston Texans Giveaways!

    *Autographs not guaranteed for everyone and signing strictly limited to times listed. Celebrities subject to change.

  • Sun., Aug. 30, 2015 10:35 PM - 11:05 PM CDT Houston Texans Inside the Game

    Tune into KTRK ABC 13 in Houston (or check local listings across Texas) each Sunday at 10:35 PM for this in-season show that recaps each Houston Texans game in-depth with coverage and analysis from Greg Bailey and Spencer Tillman.

  • Tue., Sep. 01, 2015 12:00 PM - 2:00 PM CDT Houston Texans Team Luncheon pres. by Amegy Bank of Texas

    The Houston Texans Team Luncheon is set for Tuesday, September 1 from noon – 2pm with the entire Texans team.  Hear from Head Coach Bill O’Brien and top Texans players as they prepare for the 2015 season!

    Info - http://www.houstontexans.com/community/team-luncheon.html

  • Sat., Sep. 05, 2015 6:30 PM - 7:00 PM CDT Texans Extra Points

    Tune into KTRK ABC 13 in Houston (or check local listings across Texas) each Saturday at 6:30 PM for this weekly in-season Houston Texans show that previews the upcoming Texans game in-depth with special guests and is hosted by Drew Dougherty from Texans TV.

  • Sat., Sep. 05, 2015 11:00 PM - 11:30 PM CDT Texans 360

    Tune into KTRK ABC 13 in Houston (or check local listings across Texas) each Saturday at 11 PM for this Texans show that covers all the happenings each week of the team throughout the offseason from community events, offseason training and various team functions with Cheerleaders and players.

  • Sun., Sep. 06, 2015 1:00 PM - 3:00 PM CDT Kickoff at Kemah Boardwalk

    Join the Houston Texans Cheerleaders, Ambassadors, TORO, and the Battle Ready Band at the Kickoff at Kemah Boardwalk on Sun., Sept. 6 from 1-3 PM.

    Bring the entire family for autograph signings, live music, & prize giveaways!

    Info: http://www.houstontexans.com/fan-zone/kickoffatkemah.html

  • Sun., Sep. 06, 2015 10:35 PM - 11:05 PM CDT Houston Texans Inside the Game

    Tune into KTRK ABC 13 in Houston (or check local listings across Texas) each Sunday at 10:35 PM for this in-season show that recaps each Houston Texans game in-depth with coverage and analysis from Greg Bailey and Spencer Tillman.

  • Tue., Sep. 08, 2015 6:00 PM - 7:00 PM CDT Duane Brown Live from Fuddruckers

    Join Texans offensive lineman Duane Brown every Tuesday during the regulars season from 6-7 PM at the Fuddruckers (3929 Southwest Freeway, Houston, TX 77027) for a Texans Radio live broadcast on SportsRadio 610 with Voice of the Texans, Marc Vandermeer, and special guests!

    Plus, all Houston area Fuddruckers will be feature a buy one Texans Burger, Get One Free every Tuesday during the season for fans showing up in their Texans gear, whether the Texans win or lose their previous game, so don't miss out!

    Then stay for Texans Live from 7-8 PM.  Lots of Texans prizes & giveaways!

  • Sat., Sep. 12, 2015 6:30 PM - 7:00 PM CDT Texans Extra Points

    Tune into KTRK ABC 13 in Houston (or check local listings across Texas) each Saturday at 6:30 PM for this weekly in-season Houston Texans show that previews the upcoming Texans game in-depth with special guests and is hosted by Drew Dougherty from Texans TV.

  • Sat., Sep. 12, 2015 11:00 PM - 11:30 PM CDT Texans Late Night

    Tune into KTRK ABC 13 in Houston (or check local listings across Texas) each Saturday during the regular season at 11 PM for this  show that goes 1-on-1 with Texans players to get to know them on a personal basis and is hosted by Voice of the Houston Texans Marc Vandermeer and Texans Insider Deepi Sidhu.

News

Print
RSS

BWTB: Grading the mock drafts

Posted May 19, 2014

A look at how NFL media pundits did predicting the 2014 draft.

We have heard the phrase many times. The draft is an inexact science.

The term 'mock draft' has become synonymous with draft season, becoming pro football version of a daily stock index. Player values go up and down while we all chart the results in real-time. From the Senior Bowl, to the NFL combine to pro days, performances are evaluated and ranked, changing the latest version of each mock. Although most mock drafts are admittedly guesswork, that didn't stop us from reading, as we continually kept up as pundits weighed in on who the Texans would take. We couldn't get enough of them. They are the NFL's version of recruiting rankings.

After months of speculation and smokescreens, there are always so-called 'surprises' once the actual event begins. Teams go 'off the board' so to speak, drafting players they haven't been connected to during the draft process. For fans, this creates a drama and tension that adds to an already exciting event. For media pundits...it just makes their predictions look silly.

We have been tracking mock drafts here at HoustonTexans.com for nearly five months, compiling lists to stay on the pulse of national opinion. As time passed, opinions changed, allowing us and you to watch it unfold as the 2014 NFL Draft closed in. 

Now that it is all over...how did the media do? The answer was...surprising.

In fairness to our media brethren, certain events can change everything. It is nearly impossible to anticipate trades, and one major move can shake up the entire draft board. The Buffalo Bills are a great example of that this year. The Bills traded up five slots to the number four pick, selecting Clemson wide receiver Sammy Watkins. While many media had Watkins pegged in that range, no one could have predicted the Bills would move up to select him.

A few caveats before we get to the results.

We used the most recent mock drafts for this evaluation. Most pundits did between four and seven mocks, so I used their last one when analyzing their total. I also gave credit to those who predicted players to a certain team, even if the spot wasn't where he was picked. The best example of that is Johnny Manziel, who many had pegged to the Cleveland Browns at four, despite his being selected 22nd overall. This also occurred with Teddy Bridgewater. I gave them the benefit of the doubt.

The average media member of those we surveyed got five correct. Nearly all had the Texans picking Jadeveon Clowney, essentially giving them one point to start. The highest total went to Draftek.com, who had nine first round picks right in their final mock. On the flipside, CBS Sports Will Brinson scored just one prediction.

One of the hardest picks to nail down was number three, with Jacksonville selecting Blake Bortles. Only CSN Houston's Jason Passehl accurately called that. Many had San Diego picking Jason Verrett, which is rather surprising considering it was the 25th pick.       

Website (Writer) Best Pick Total Correct
ESPN.com (Mel Kiper) Mike Evans (Tampa Bay) 5
ESPN.com (Todd McShay) Eric Ebron (Detroit) 8
NFL.com (Daniel Jeremiah) C.J. Mosely (Baltimore) 5
NFL.com (Bucky Brooks) Jake Matthews (Atlanta) 4
NFL.com (Brian Baldinger) Anthony Barr (Minnesota) 5
NFL.com (Charles Davis) Khalil Mack (Oakland) 5
NFL.com (Matt Smith) Jake Matthews (Atlanta) 3
NFL.com (Chase Goodbread) C.J. Mosely (Baltimore) 4
NFL.com (Mike Huguenin) Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (Green Bay) 7
SportsIllustrated.com (Chris Burke) Jason Verrett (San Diego) 7
CBSSports.com (Rob Rang) Mike Evans (Tampa Bay) 3
CBSSports.com (Dane Brugler) Khalil Mack (Oakland) 4
CBSSports.com (Pete Prisco) Jake Matthews (Atlanta) 5
CBSSports.com (Pat Kirwan) Jason Verrett (San Diego) 2
CBSSports.com (Will Brinson) Jadeveon Clowney (Houston) 1
NFL.com (Mike Mayock) C.J. Mosely (Baltimore) 5
SportsIllustrated.com (Don Banks) Johnny Manziel (Cleveland) 4
Yahoo! Sports (Eric Edholm) Zach Martin (Dallas) 6
FOXSports.com (Peter Schrager) Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (Green Bay) 6
USA Today (Brent Sobleski) Mike Evans (Tampa Bay) 4
NFL Spin Zone (James Dimaio) Teddy Bridgewater (Minnesota) 5
WalterFootball.com

Kyle Fuller (Chicago)

8
SB Nation (Dan Kadar)

Jason Verrett (San Diego)

5
SB Nation (Matthew Fairburn)

Anthony Barr (Minnesota)

7

DraftTek.com

Zach Martin (Dallas) 9
CSN Houston (Jason Passehl) Blake Bortles (Jacksonsville) 7
Chron.com (John McClain) Johnny Manziel (Cleveland) 3


 

Content on HoustonTexans.com does not necessarily represent the views of the Houston Texans front office staff, coaches or executives.

Trending Now

Recent News