Numbers don’t lie.
Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins have an undeniable chemistry that can now be measured, according to a new metric called completion probability. Based on the findings, NFL.com rated the Watson-Hopkins connection as one of the league's “Most Extraordinary” QB-WR tandems of 2018.
Next Gen Stats calculated the likelihood of a completed pass based on variables such as: distance thrown, receiver separation, pressure on the passer, quarterback speed (how fast he is moving) as well as his time to throw. NFL.com’s Graham Barfield wrote:
Considering DeAndre Hopkins has dropped just one of his 234 targets from Deshaun Watson over the last two years, it should be no surprise this duo dominates catch probability metrics. Hopkins' overall catch rate (71 percent) was a ridiculous 15 points higher than his career average (56 percent) in 2018, leading to career-highs in both receptions (7.3) and yards (98.3) per game.
The two-time First-Team All-Pro wide receiver has always had an impressively wide catch. Barfield wrote that having consistency at quarterback has only bolstered Hopkins’ ability to come away with a catch even with multiple defenders draped on him.
Hopkins saw press coverage on 41.4 percent of his routes last season, the fourth-highest rate in the league. Despite rarely seeing easier draws against interior defenders, Hopkins routinely dominates at the catch point and he finally has a quarterback worthy of his talent. It's a perfect marriage._
The Next Gen stats calculated the Watson-Hopkins catch rate at 11.2 percent above expectation. Only three other QB-WR tandems ranked higher: Philip Rivers and Mike Williams (12.4 percent), Drew Brees and Michael Thomas (16.1 percent) and Russell Wilson to Tyler Lockett (20.1 percent).
Check out the best shots of QB Deshaun Watson from the 2018 season.