Fantasy picks: Week 15

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In Week 15 of the Home Team Challenge, the free fantasy football game with great prizes on HoustonTexans.com, the winning player will take home a photo autographed by Texans defensive end Mario Williams.

Here's my weekly fantasy advice, with a few players I like and a few players I don't.

PRICE IS RIGHT

QB Tyler Thigpen, KC, 52 points (vs. SD): Thigpen has passed for 1,926 yards and 14 touchdowns in only eight starts this season. In four of those starts, he has throw for two or more touchdowns. Against San Diego's 30th-ranked pass defense, which has allowed 248.9 yards per game, Thigpen should be able to get the ball to his receivers and his talented tight end, Tony Gonzalez.

VALUE PICK

RB Jonathan Stewart, CAR, 32 (vs. DEN): Stewart has run for 699 yards and eight touchdowns this season while splitting carries with DeAngelo Williams. While he will continue to lose carries to Williams, Stewart showed last Monday night that he can still be a productive fantasy player. He rushed for 115 yards and two touchdowns against a good Tampa Bay run defense. This week, Stewart gets the 26th-ranked run defense of the Denver Broncos. The Broncos are giving up 139.5 yards per game on the ground. I expect Williams and Stewart to rack up yards just like they did last week, but Stewart is a lot cheaper than Williams.

WR Vincent Jackson, SD, 34 (@ KC): Last week, Jackson caught five passes for 148 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City's defense is giving up 235.5 passing yards per game, which ranks them 29th in the league. Expect Jackson to be a big part of the Chargers' game plan again this week.

NOT WORTH IT

RB Michael Turner, SD, 57 (vs. TB): I know he's the best running back in football right now. I know he's leading the league in touchdowns right now. But I have a feeling that the Buccaneers are embarrassed by the way Carolina ran all over them last Monday night and I think their 18th-ranked run defense will step up this week and contain Turner.

SLEEPER SPECIAL

RB Maurice Jones-Drew, JAC, 48 (vs. GB): Green Bay is giving up 141.6 rushing yards per game this season, which ranks 27th in the NFL. Jones-Drew doesn't normally rack up a ton of yardage, but he does have 11 touchdowns this season. He should be a big part of the Jaguars' game plans this week, especially with Jaguars running back Fred Taylor's status for the game in doubt. Either way, Jones-Drew should be able to take advantage of the Packers' weak run defense.

TEXANS FANTASY STARTER OF THE WEEK

K Kris Brown, HOU, 28 (vs. TEN):The Texans' offense is averaging 381.5 total yards per game but still having a little trouble in the red zone. The Titans' defense is one of the league's best, ranking third in the NFL in yards allowed per game. Something has to give. I think the Texans will be able to score, but mostly via the foot of Kris Brown.

To register for the Home Team Challenge, click here. Make sure to set your lineups by Thu., Dec. 11, at 4:15 pm.

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