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Houston Texans

Mock drafts vs. reality

How closely have Texans mock drafts come to predicting the first-round pick?

This year, Baylor wide receiver Corey Coleman has been the consensus among experts. Even if it's not Coleman, most mock drafts (82.1 percent) have the Texans selecting a wide receiver with the No. 22 overall pick. How accurate will they be at predicting Houston's first-round draft selection this year? If the past is any indicator, fans could be in for another surprise on Thursday.

Who did experts predict in 2015?

Just one day before the 2015 NFL Draft, 14 of 27 analysts predicted a wide receiver for the Texans at No. 16 overall. The most-chosen player was not so clear. Two wide receivers, Nelson Agholor (USC) and Breshad Perriman (UCF), were each selected four times.

Here's how the rest stacked up:

  1. Wide receiver: (14)
  2. Defensive end/outside linebacker: (6)
  3. Defensive linemen: (3)
  4. Cornerback: (2)

The Texans surprised many when they passed on both Agholor and Perriman, selecting Wake Forest cornerback Kevin Johnson instead.

Who was right?*
In reviewing the final two mock drafts from experts, a few correctly predicted Johnson. Just one analyst,'s Bucky Brooks, had the Texans selecting Johnson in both of his final two mock drafts. Sports Illustrated's Peter King also selected Johnson, in his second-to-last mock draft.

SB Nation's Dan Kadar (in his final mock) and Daniel Jeremiah (in his second-to-last mock) did predict correctly too, but it was not Johnson. Both selected Jaelen Strong in the first round who, of course, did land with the Texans but not until the third round.

The 2016 NFL Draft takes place Thursday, April 28 through Saturday, April 30. Coverage on Texans Radio begins at 6 p.m. CT on SportsRadio 610. The Texans have seven picks in this year's draft: two in the fifth round and one in every other round, except the seventh.

The Texans will travel 15,308 miles in the 2016 regular season, and play in these venues.

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